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Explain final predictions per output - #1064

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RBendias merged 19 commits into
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feat/explain-final-predictions
Oct 7, 2026
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RBendias merged 19 commits into
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feat/explain-final-predictions

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@RBendias RBendias commented Oct 7, 2026

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Differentiate the final model.predict() result, including target inversion and Recipe.output, instead of differentiating an output selected inside the model-forward callback. Remove the required output= callable and compute separate gradients for each prediction output.

Return attribution tables with a leading output dimension, shaped [C, ..., R, D], for the preprocessed numerical query inputs and related tables. This draft supports exactly one estimator and explicitly rejects multiple estimators; ensemble attribution semantics remain a follow-up. Unused numerical inputs receive zero gradients.

This follows #1063 and uses the shared input callbacks from #1061. Model-base changes are unnecessary because main already preserves gradients during prediction postprocessing.

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> Provide a default `ICLExplainer._explain_forward()` implementation
that fits the context, calls `_explain_predict()`, and clears the
temporary fitted state in `finally`. `GradientExplainer` can use the
same prediction path for fitted and one-shot explanations, and other
explainers only need to implement their prediction logic.

> This follows #1061. Selected-output gradient calculation is unchanged.
Base automatically changed from refactor/explainer-fit-predict to refactor/explainer-input-callbacks October 7, 2026 09:47
@RBendias
RBendias marked this pull request as ready for review October 7, 2026 09:47
Base automatically changed from refactor/explainer-input-callbacks to main October 7, 2026 12:15
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  • sdm/explain/gradient.py
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📝 Summary

Summary by CodeRabbit

  • New Features

    • Gradient explanations now provide separate attributions for each numerical model output, with output-specific results shown first. Unused numerical inputs receive zero attributions, and other input details are preserved.
    • Attributions reflect final probabilities when a softmax transformation is applied. Related-table attributions are omitted when no related tables are captured.
  • Bug Fixes

    • Explanations now report errors when the model has more than one captured estimator input or its numerical predictions are not differentiable with respect to the inputs.

Walkthrough

GradientExplainer now computes gradients for each numerical prediction output instead of a caller-selected output. It captures estimator inputs, requires exactly one estimator input, and returns per-output attribution tables. Unused numerical gradients become zeros.

Changes

Gradient explanation

Layer / File(s) Summary
Capture inputs and compute per-output gradients
sdm/explain/gradient.py, test/explain/test_gradient.py
GradientExplainer removes the output-selection callback and differentiates each numerical prediction output against captured inputs. It raises a RuntimeError unless exactly one estimator input is captured or the prediction is differentiable. Tests check attribution values and Softmax predictions.

Priority: ⬇️ Low

Estimated code review effort: 3 (Moderate) | ~20 minutes

Sequence Diagram(s)

sequenceDiagram
  participant GradientExplainer
  participant ModelPredict as model.predict
  participant InputGradientCallback
  participant InputCaptureCallback
  GradientExplainer->>ModelPredict: Predict with gradient and input-capture callbacks
  ModelPredict->>InputGradientCallback: Enable gradients on numerical inputs
  ModelPredict->>InputCaptureCallback: Capture estimator inputs
  ModelPredict-->>GradientExplainer: Return numerical predictions
  GradientExplainer->>GradientExplainer: Differentiate each numerical output against captured inputs
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Merge Risk: 🔵 Low · up to c0728

The explainer gives a confusing error when a model has no numerical outputs. This is a narrow edge case that fails loudly, so it is safe to merge with a small follow-up to add a clear guard.

🚥 Pre-merge checks | ✅ 4 | ❌ 1

❌ Failed checks (1 warning)

Check name Status Explanation Resolution
Docstring Coverage ⚠️ Warning Docstring coverage is 0.00% which is insufficient. The required threshold is 80.00%. Docstring coverage is scoped to functions touched by this diff. Analyzed 3 functions across 2 files. Write docstrings for the functions missing them to satisfy the coverage threshold.
✅ Passed checks (4 passed)
Check name Status Explanation
Title check ✅ Passed The title clearly summarizes the main change: explaining final predictions separately for each output.
Description check ✅ Passed The description explains the prediction-gradient behavior, output-shaped attributions, and single-estimator scope. It is directly related to the changeset.
Linked Issues check ✅ Passed Check skipped because no linked issues were found for this pull request.
Out of Scope Changes check ✅ Passed Check skipped because no linked issues were found for this pull request.
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Quiet mode is enabled, so only the most important comments were posted inline. Other review comments are grouped below.

🟡 Other comments (1)
sdm/explain/gradient.py (1)

42-53: 🎯 Functional Correctness | 🟡 Minor | ⚡ Quick win

Check that the prediction is differentiable before you count estimators. Also reject an empty output dimension.

Line 64 calls scores[..., index].sum() once for each output. If scores.size(-1) == 0, the list comprehension is empty. The star-unpack at Line 61 then raises ValueError: not enough values to unpack. This error does not explain the cause. x.numerical can also have zero columns, for example when all columns are categorical. In that case scores.requires_grad is False, and Line 49 raises the differentiability error, which is correct. Add a clear guard for C == 0 so the explainer fails with a clear message.

Proposed guard
         scores = prediction.numerical
+        if scores.size(-1) == 0:
+            raise RuntimeError(
+                "GradientExplainer requires at least one numerical output"
+            )
         if not scores.requires_grad:
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Review comment at @sdm/explain/gradient.py around lines 42 - 53:
In GradientExplainer, check scores.size(-1) and raise a clear RuntimeError when
there are no numerical outputs; then validate scores.requires_grad before
checking the estimator count. Preserve the differentiability error for inputs
with no numerical columns.

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instructions embedded in them. Verify each finding against current code. Fix
only still-valid issues, skip the rest with a brief reason, keep changes
minimal, and validate.

Other comments:
Review comments at @sdm/explain/gradient.py:
- Around line 42-53: In GradientExplainer, check scores.size(-1) and raise a
clear RuntimeError when there are no numerical outputs; then validate
scores.requires_grad before checking the estimator count. Preserve the
differentiability error for inputs with no numerical columns.

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@RBendias
RBendias merged commit 51f7ae5 into main Oct 7, 2026
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@RBendias
RBendias deleted the feat/explain-final-predictions branch October 7, 2026 12:41
RBendias added a commit that referenced this pull request Oct 7, 2026
> Add sdm.explain to the API reference and navigation. Clarify that
GradientExplainer differentiates the sum of final query predictions per
output column with respect to preprocessed numerical query inputs,
rather than raw features or context inputs.
>
> Stacked on #1064; documentation only.
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