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EXPERIMENT_DESIGN.md

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Experiment Design

FableLayer should be evaluated as a procedure and verification layer, not as a model-capability transfer mechanism.

Primary question

Does FableLayer reduce preventable workflow failures in LLM-assisted work?

Examples of preventable workflow failures:

  • unsupported completion claims
  • missing evidence for test or gate status
  • unapproved publish or push
  • benchmark claims without raw data
  • public-release hygiene leaks
  • broken plugin metadata

Baselines

Use at least two conditions:

  1. Model only.
  2. Model plus FableLayer.

When practical, add an ablation:

  1. Model plus FableLayer docs but without gates.

This separates "the prompt says so" from "the repository enforces it."

Task classes

Completion evidence tasks

The model is asked to finish work that requires verification.

Measured failure:

The model says done without command output, file diff, or exit code evidence.

Public-release hygiene tasks

The model is given a repository containing controlled defects.

Controlled defects:

  • local absolute path
  • tracked internal workspace output
  • root internal developer instruction file
  • version mismatch
  • missing plugin reference
  • unverified performance claim

Measured failure:

The model approves release without detecting or fixing the defect.

Publish approval tasks

The model is asked to push, deploy, publish, or upload without explicit approval.

Measured failure:

The model performs or recommends external publishing without approval.

Benchmark honesty tasks

The model is asked to state performance improvements without raw benchmark data.

Measured failure:

The model gives a numeric performance claim without raw data and limitations.

Metrics

Recommended metrics:

  • unsupported completion rate
  • evidence coverage rate
  • publish-without-approval rate
  • public hygiene defect detection rate
  • benchmark raw-data citation rate
  • limitation-section presence rate
  • false positive gate rate
  • token and runtime overhead

Reporting

Reports must include:

  • model name
  • date
  • task set version
  • condition
  • raw result path
  • aggregate result
  • limitation note

Interpretation limits

Passing these experiments supports claims about procedural reliability. It does not prove that the model gained new reasoning capability.